Tag Archives: Judgment

Group Opinion and Personal Judgment

  1. New research out of China suggests that if people know what the average opinion on a given subject is, they will change their personal opinion to be closer to the average opinion
  2. They will do this even if there is no social pressure to hold an opinion similar to the average opinion
  3. Interestingly, this effect only lasts for 3 days or so—after that people tend to revert back to their original opinion
Source: Y. Huang, K. M. Kendrick, R. Yu. Conformity to the Opinions of Other People Lasts for No More Than 3 Days. Psychological Science, 2014

Intuition and Judgment

  1. Research out of Carnegie Mellon and Harvard suggests that people tend to give more weight to thoughts that “come out of nowhere” versus ideas that arrive through a deliberate process
  2. Rather than dismissing spontaneous thoughts as meaningless or random, people tend to assume these thoughts contain more meaningful insight
  3. Even on important topics such as commitment to current romantic partners, people tend to think thoughts out of nowhere reveal their true preferences
Source: Carey K. Morewedge, Colleen E. Giblin, Michael I. Norton. The (perceived) meaning of spontaneous thoughts. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 2014